The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. But Im not mathy. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Please pass this post along. what are the chances of being born in america I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). You get the volume of planet Earth. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Are they gross exaggerations? "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. On one try. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Are you a miracle? On the probability of being born | Dr. Ali Binazir He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? So what's the probability of your being born? Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Or stalk me (with love.). First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell But, doesnt that seem a bit low? This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Wowser. Which one's bigger? Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Me neither. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Just go have some fucking fun! But let's think about this some more. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. So what's the probability of your being born? Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Thats 150,000 generations. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com You Are a Miracle, 1 in 400 Quadrillion or more - LinkedIn Step 2. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born Hello there! Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Are You a Miracle? xx, Lets be social! Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Step 3. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. That's 150,000 generations. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! What are the odds of that? Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The Odds of You Being You - linkedin.com This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe.
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